Problem Solving › Data Analysis
Il numero sbagliato è già stato comunicato al mercato · Data Analysis · Beginner
Reconciling data for the quarterly report, you find an error in the previous quarter: a double count in the integration pipeline inflated by 12% the active customer number the company communicated to investors and press six weeks ago: a number the CEO quoted in an interview, picked up by two trade publications. The error is technical, in good faith, and you found it. The next report is out in three weeks: silently correcting the historical series would show an inexplicable drop; declaring the error embarrasses the CEO and could dent investor confidence right during the negotiation for the new round; not correcting means building every future communication on a false number someone will eventually reconcile. The CFO, informed, asks you for options by tomorrow. What do you bring him?
Riconciliando i dati per il report trimestrale, trovi un errore nel trimestre precedente: un doppio conteggio nella pipeline di integrazione ha gonfiato del 12% il numero di clienti attivi che l'azienda ha comunicato a investitori e stampa sei settimane fa: un numero citato dal CEO in un'intervista e ripreso da due testate di settore. L'errore è tecnico, in buona fede, e l'hai scoperto tu. Il prossimo report esce tra tre settimane: correggere silenziosamente la serie storica farebbe apparire un calo inspiegabile; dichiarare l'errore imbarazza il CEO e può incrinare la fiducia degli investitori proprio durante la trattativa per il nuovo round; non correggere significa costruire ogni comunicazione futura su un numero falso che prima o poi qualcuno riconcilierà. Il CFO, informato, ti chiede opzioni entro domani. Cosa gli porti?
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